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FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS（ISBN=9780812975215）书籍详细信息
- ISBN：9780812975215
- 作者：暂无作者
- 出版社：暂无出版社
- 出版时间：2005-08
- 页数：暂无页数
- 价格：73.50
- 纸张：胶版纸
- 装帧：平装
- 开本：32开
- 语言：未知
- 丛书：暂无丛书
- TAG：暂无
- 豆瓣评分：暂无豆瓣评分
内容简介：
“[Taleb is] Wall Street’s principal dissident. . . . [Fooled
By Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately
what Martin Luther’s ninety-nine theses were to the Catholic
Church.”
–Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker
Finally in paperback, the word-of-mouth sensation that will
change the way you think about the markets and the world.This book
is about luck: more precisely how we perceive luck in our personal
and professional experiences.
Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which
luck is mistaken for skill–the world of business–Fooled by
Randomness is an irreverent, iconoclastic, eye-opening, and
endlessly entertaining exploration of one of the least understood
forces in all of our lives.
书籍目录：
Pt. I Solon's warning
1 If you're so rich, why aren't you so smart?
2 A bizarre accounting method
3 A mathematical meditation on history
4 Randomness, nonsense, and the scientific intellectual
5 Survival of the least fit - can evolution be fooled by
randomness?
6 Skewness and asymmetry
7 The problem of induction
Pt. II Monkeys on typewriters
8 Too many millionaires next door
9 It is easier to buy and sell than fry an egg
10 Loser takes all - on the nonlinearities of life
11 Randomness and our mind : we are probability blind
Pt. III Wax in my ears
12 Gamblers' ticks and pigeons in a box
13 Carneades comes to Rome : on probability and skepticism
14 Bacchus abandons antony
Epilogue : Solon told you
Postscript : three afterthoughts in the shower
作者介绍：
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the founder of Empirica Capital LLC,
a crisis-hunting hedge fund operator, and a fellow at the Courant
Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York University. He has
held a variety of derivative trading positions in New York and
London and worked as an independent floor trader in Chicago. Taleb
was inducted in February 2001 in the Derivatives Strategy Hall of
Fame.
Taleb received an M.B.A. from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from
the University of Paris Dauphine. He is the author of Dynamic
Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options (Wiley, 1997).
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媒体评论
Amazon.com
If the pre*ions for getting rich that are outlined in books
such as The Millionaire Next Door and Rich Dad Poor Dad are
successful enough to make the books bestsellers, then one must ask,
Why aren't there more millionaires? In Fooled by Randomness, Nassim
Nicholas Taleb, a professional trader and mathematics professor,
examines what randomness means in business and in life and why
human beings are so prone to mistake dumb luck for consummate
skill. This eccentric and highly personal exploration of the nature
of randomness meanders from the court of Croesus and trading rooms
in New York and London to Russian roulette, Monte Carlo engines,
and the philosophy of Karl Popper. Part of what makes this book so
good is Taleb's ability to make seemingly arcane mathematical
concepts (at least to this reviewer) entirely relevant in
evaluating and understanding everything from the stock market to
the success of those millionaires cited in the aforementioned
bestsellers. Here's an articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on
the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little
more of the former would do well to consider. Highly recommended.
--Harry C. Edwards
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